This is the blog of Hrishikesh Prabhavalkar, a commerce graduate with close to 16 years of stock markets experience. With this blog you can get your self updated about the Indian Capital Markets, Political stories, and things impacting the economic growth.
Friday, August 14, 2015
Why Parliament did not function......
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Thursday, August 13, 2015
In the Independence day week Bulls are dependent a lot on 8321 ! ! !
Owing to domestic and global negative factors Nifty plummeted badly in this Independence day week.
Though a positive weekly close has a remote probability Bulls will still depend a lot on 8320-8300 levels. A close below the same and Nifty is set for another down turn will 8200-8100-7950 levels.
However, personally I feel a lot of negative things are now factored in by now (Like, Yuan devaluation, GST not passing in, Policy Paralysis due to non functioning of both the houses of Parliament, etc.) and still Nifty managed to stay above yesterdays low of 8338 which is a sign of relief.
So If we hold 8320-8300 levels on closing basis a short term bounce can not be ruled out.
Bulls .... last ray of hope.... 8320...
Bears can party if the same is breached on a closing basis.
Cheers
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Saturday, August 8, 2015
FNO lot sizes revised...
SEBI revises the market lot and minimum lot value criteria.
Minimum lot value revised to 5 lac. Minimum lot size for stocks reduced to 50 and in multiple of 25 there after.
For high value stocks minimum lot size fixed at 10 and multiple of 5.
Index minimum lot size fixed at 10 and multiple of 5 there after
At current nifty value of appx 8500. New Nifty index lot will be 60.
Bank nifty will be 30...applicable from
Oct expiry ..
http://www.sebi.gov.in/cms/sebi_data/attachdocs/1436782665000.pdf
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Friday, August 7, 2015
How to Select a Fundamentally sound company......
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Tuesday, August 4, 2015
And the God opens a Dmat Account ! ! !.. Why are you waiting.
Considered the first globally for a shrine management, Tirumala Tirupati Devasthanams (TTD) has opened demat account (1601010000384828) with the Stock Holding Corporation of India.
PS Reddy, MD and CEO of Central Depositories Service (CDSL), told ET that the innovative move by TTD was primarily aimed at addressing the hassles pertaining to transferring the physical share certificates. "TTD has been receiving physical share certificates as donations by devotees in its open Hundi, which indicates that devotees are interested in donating shares.
TTD viewed that enabling devotees to use the demat account for donations helps both." Reddy said though TTD is the first shrine management in the country till date to open a demat account, CDSL would explore similar interest from other temple managements in other parts of the country that were receiving shares as donations.
While acknowledging that the temple has been receiving thousands of share certificates valuing lakhs of rupees, a TTD top official, however, refused to divulge details on the quantum and value of shares received so far.
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Monday, August 3, 2015
A must read for a trader....
One Saturday morning, while he was sitting at his computer studying the market, David's 7 year old daughter came up, tugged at his shirt sleeve, and said, "Daddy, why aren't we rich?"
He looked his child in the eye, and thought to himself, what a great question - why aren't we rich?
As she stood there expectantly waiting for an answer, he struggled to come to grips with the realization that, although he had focused his undivided attention on nothing but creating wealth for more than 15 years, he was still broke.
He had bought and sold hundreds of Stocks and several properties over those years, but had never made any real money to speak of.
He looked at his daughter, and asked, “What makes you think we aren't rich, sweetheart?”
She looked at him sternly and said, “Because you said that if we were rich, you and mom wouldn't have to go to work any more, and you both still work all the time.
You said we could live near the beach and play in the sand every day. I want to know what you are doing about that. When can we go and live at the beach?”
There’s nothing like a child to cut straight to the heart of the problem - and what was he doing about it?
“We're not rich because daddy made some mistakes,” he finally answered.
“What kind of mistakes, daddy?” she asked.
“Well, I bought some shares that were going down and then didn't sell them soon enough. Then I bought some houses but sold them again just before they went up in price.”
“Why did you do that?” she asked.
He had to think long and hard about that. He had no reason to buy shares that were going down in the first place. He had no reason to hold on to them when they kept going down. He had no reason to sell the properties either, come to think of it.
Her logic was flawless – why wasn’t he doing better financially than he was?
He knew in that moment that he had to change his strategy.
He owed it to himself and his family to finally get his act together and make some changes - that was the day the pain of not living up to his potential made him sit down and write out his stock market trading plan...his trading strategy and rules – he had to have a life raft.
He started by writing out his vision - what he wanted his life to look like when he became a successful trader and investor, then worked backwards from there - through the details of how he was going to achieve his dream.
He saw in his mind the 4 bedroom penthouse on the beach, the red Ferrari 360 Modena, the 80 inch plasma screen computer monitor in an office overlooking the surf beach 17 floors below, the family holidays, the million dollar donations to worthwhile causes and children's charities.
He visualized all the tremendous benefits of becoming a successful trader, investor and philanthropist.
He realized that his main problem all this time had been that he was afraid of losing, and that fear was just too expensive to let it control his life any longer! He had been playing not to lose, instead of playing to win.
He decided he would never again sell a property unless there was a compelling reason to do so.
He decided that he would no longer accept anything less than perfect execution of his stock trading plan.
He decided that he would take every trade entry signal his system gave him and follow his trading plan as if his life depended on it.
As if, after each trade was closed out, he had to stand in front of a panel of super traders, and explain his actions to them - why he entered where he did, where he placed his stop losses, why he exited when he did.
And if they weren't convinced he followed the rules of successful trading, he would be taken out and shot!
This certainly focused his attention on only trading strong trends - trends where the price bars were trading above their respective moving averages for long trades, or below for the moving averages for short trades, and the Stock price was moving strongly in one direction.
He pretended that if he couldn't justify his trading decisions to his trading Mentors, he was dead...
That was the day he resolved to study his selected group of Stocks, the ones that had a track record of trending strongly, every day.
He would then take every trade his system produced, put his stop loss orders in the market as he entered each trade it a place where the trend had to change to take him out of the market, and he would hold every position until the trend changed.
He would act 'as if' he was a great trader, even though his record up to that point had been less than inspiring...
That innocent question from a child turned out to be the start of David's successful trading career.
He started to trade profitably and consistently for the first time in his life. He thought he was doing well, and indeed he was making money.
He knew from his wealthy mentors that rich people are different; they make rational decisions based on facts, not emotions.
They understand the value of money - they respect it as a tool for building a better world. They buy well for logical reasons and hold until there is a valid reason to sell.
Then one day, he closed out a trade, and excitedly told his daughter, “Daddy made a big profit in the market today darling, come and look and see what I did.”
His daughter came over to the computer and looked at the screen as he excitedly showed her where he had bought a Stock and then sold for a $13000 profit. She looked at him and said, “But daddy, it's still going up, why did you sell now?”
His smile faded as the power of that question sunk in...why had he sold it?
What was he doing getting out of such a strong trend just to take a profit? What would his trading Mentors say?
She was right...the market was still open, so he bought back in again. He had never been able to bring himself to do that before - he was becoming a great trader!
The rally continued and he kept buying more as it rallied. The trend finally changed, but his profit on that trade, when he eventually got a valid sell signal, was $34500!
His daughter's simple, logical question 5 weeks earlier had been worth over $20000!
That was the last time he ever got out of a trade based on his emotions. His fear of the market was gone - thanks to some simple questions from a 7 year old...
So now, it's your turn.
Whenever you are preparing to place a trade, find a small child, even if you have to borrow one, and ask them what the trend is. Then don't trade the other way!
If your trading isn't as great as you know it could be, decide to create a trading plan now that will become your life raft.
Remember, fear is just too expensive folks.
If you are afraid of losing money, reduce your position size until your fear goes away.
Once you have made a series of small profits, you will be trading with the markets money and you can increase you position size according to your growing confidence and account balance.
If you have a series of losses, reduce your position size again until you get back on the right track. Stick to your trading plan once you have something that works consistently.
Then, just go out and do!!
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Thursday, July 30, 2015
Bottomed out?
As mentioned in the earlier post, Nifty took support near 8315-8300 mark and did not those levels any time. Today markets gapped up and trading now near 8440 mark.
Now the next hurdles are near 8450-8493-8515-8530
Can we call this a short term bottom?, well for that Nifty has to surpass the above resistances and sustain convincingly above 8500....
Cheers...
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Tuesday, July 28, 2015
Bear's Day out...
After a Blood bath on Dalal Street for last couple of days, Nifty now trading near a daily support of 8315-8300.
8300 remains the last hope for bulls. If markets sustains below the same (Sensex corresponding level - 27500) a free fall to 8200-8100 can not be ruled out...
Bulls should pray for a close above 8353 by today for at least a small bounce.
A great opportunity for traders and investors as well to select quality stocks for Long term and trade based on the stock specific trend for short to mid term.
Cheers
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Wednesday, July 22, 2015
Very Good Video for understanding The Power of Compounding & SIP ! ! !
Please check the video for understanding the Power of compounding and Systematic Investment Plan... SIP.
Explained in a very simple yet very effective manner...
Cheers
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Tuesday, July 21, 2015
What goes up....comes down... For going up again....
Markets seems to be taking a breather from the upside journey and currently trading near 8530 mark which is a crucial level for bulls.
Markets should close above 8530-8540 mark for continuing its upward journey till 8600-8650.... 8650 being the crucial hurdle for the bulls in short term.
If closes below 8530 Nifty might go down till 8500-8450-8420-8400...
8400 - 8300 looks like the end of pain for medium term, 8300 on closing basis can be called as a reversal for bullish trend in mid term.
For short term traders any short positions should be with SL above 8650 (spot), bor investors looking at a mid term entry can enter half of the amount now and wait for another half if it comes down till 8400-8420....
Markets are trading near a weekly resistance and hence we may see some down side, but as mentioned earlier, till 8300 is held, there should not be any concern for mid term.
Cheers
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Dont understand Equity markets.... Please read!!!!
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Bulls party, bears watchful!!!
As expected after the blood bath on 8th July after Greece debacle, Nifty gained bullish momentum slowly.
Now Nifty in resistance Zone of 8480-8530, which is a crucial test for Nifty
If Nifty manages to surpass 8520-8530-8560 with heavy volumes then Nifty can rally further even till 8800.
Cheers...
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Wednesday, July 8, 2015
Kuch corrections achhe hote hai!!!!
Nifty is witnessing a Blood Bath right now and is down by more than 160 points (i.e. 2%). However the over all trend for short term will still remain positive until 8180 level is not broken, and till such time I personally feel that every dip is a buying opportunity...
Earlier this week, markets surpassed a crucial levels of 8510, though with not so surprising volumes, but if able to hold on to 8200-8150 mark, Nifty can see a bounce and then higher levels of 8650-8800 in short to mid term. however a low volume breakout of crucial resistance of 8510 still remains a crucial hurdle going forward, which means the next up move should be with heavier volumes than the recent volumes....
Traders are advised to trade cautiously with STRICT stop losses for intraday or delivery trades as markets may witness higher volatility going forward, the IV is already up today by 11% @ 18.12%
Cheers
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Monday, June 29, 2015
Window closed!!!!
Due to weak cues from global markets, Nifty had gaped down drastically in the opening trades today, thanks to the Bearish Engulf Pattern, discussed in a post of last week, Nifty bounced back from yet another Candlestick Pattern support called Rising Window..... the support area was 8180-8200......
A rising window getting closed by a strong candle, like today is surely an even to cheer for bulls, however resistances near 8400-8430 are likely prevail.
On the lower side 8180-8150 now becomes a crucial level and breaking of it can take Nifty even lower because that will be like a Lower Bottom on daily charts which is negative sign as per Dow Theory...
Cheers!!!
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Greece Crisis Explained!!!!
Nice link explaining the Greece Crisis and also elaborated view on European Crisis as a whole... Worth watching.....
Regards
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Thursday, June 25, 2015
Hopes still alive....
As discussed yesterday, Nifty did support exactly near the 8330 level mentioned yesterday, and sharply bounced back from there to create a new higher mark at 8423...
Which means hopes for bulls are still alive as Nifty also closed higher today on daily charts which is a good sign as per Dow Theory.... A close below 8360 can be a sign of worry for bulls...
After surpassing 8450-8470 & 8510 levels convincingly, Nifty can travel higher till 8650-8800
Cheers
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Wednesday, June 24, 2015
Caution - Slippery road ahead....!!!
After rallying for 8 consecutive sessions, Nifty closed the day in red ahead of FNO expiry today.
Now, on the daily charts we have a bearish Engulfing Candle which is a sign of concerns for bulls.
With global uncertainty over Greece issues, a level to watch out for bulls will be 8330, below which 8250 can be very certain, 8300-8250 will act as short term reversal for the immediate up trend.
Tomorrow, on account of expiry markets are certainly going to be very volatile, hence traders are advised to trade with lot of caution....
The upside resistances are same near 8470-8510.... on surpassing that Nifty can head towards the journey till 8650-8800....
It's surely a Pray time for Bulls, Nifty should not break key supports, because as mentioned earlier, support of 8000-7950 has become weak now and may not be able to stop the fall in Nifty if any....
Fingers crossed.....
Cheers
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Tuesday, June 23, 2015
On a lighter note.... Another passion other than markets....!!!!
An Open Letter to MS Dhoni from a Cricket Fan:
Some say you had the share of luck which made you a successful captain, while some say you are just a cricketing freak, a few also feel that you have the tendency to pick your favourite players in the squad and benching the rest. Lastly, some of the so-called ‘fans’ even say that you are the cause of India’s dreadful performances in the foreign soils.
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Monday, June 22, 2015
Market update - Time to rejoice
As expected Nifty, after convincingly surpassing 8125-8130 to 8190 level traveled swiftly till 8300 now....
Those who have taken long positions near 8070-8100 can boo part profits now and trail SL near 8180
On the higher side now a remarkable hurdle is near 8470-8510, before that 8300-8320 needs to cross and then 8400 can be a psychological resistance.... A close above 8316-8320 can see Nifty rise continuing further
Cheers
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Thursday, June 18, 2015
The Eliminator... Market update...
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Wednesday, June 17, 2015
FED Reserve Rate Announced
Hi All,
FED leaves rates unchanged....
Downgrade 2015 GDP Outlook
There could be rate hike in September...may be 2 rate hikes in 2015
Nasdaq 1%up from the bottom but leaves the positive territory... Negative again
Sgx down 21
Looks like yesterday n today markets discounted the FED Status quo.
Maekets sharply reacted at a crucial level of 8130-60 as posted yesterday and closed below 8100. Tomorrow very crucial... and 7940 will be do or die for bulls
Detailed Note....
US Fed: Voted 10-0 For Fed Funds Rate Action
U.S. FED : Economy expanding 'moderately,' job growth picked up
Fed leaves rate unchanged
U.S. growth is really weak but surely it will rebound so we’re going to try to hike rates this year anyway. Yellen.
FED FORECASTS IMPLY TWO QUARTER-POINT RATE INCREASES THIS YEAR
Initial reaction after FED >>> Market turned higher in US, Gold / Silver rally.
Fed sees inflation below 2% target for foreseeable future – but still holds onto idea that it will ‘gradually’ return to target
Fed leaves rate unchanged . Upgrades economic improvement outlook. Fed offers No explicit wordings on liftoff timing. Downgrades 2015 GDP outlook.
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Tuesday, June 16, 2015
Bottom Fishing....
Markets were very uncertain for past couple of days but with the list of mixed cues they did not break crucial supports near 7940.....
Currently Nifty trades at 8047 and looks like if 8162-8200 is taken out nifty should not have any hurdle before 8500 at least.
As per simple Down theory, Nifty should close convincingly above 8125-30 mark to start its journey to higher levels of 8200-8500...
Lets wait and watch, a low risk high reward (however a moderate level of probability) trading opportunity...
Cheers
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Wednesday, June 10, 2015
Morning Star on Daily.....
Personal View -
As posted earlier, markets took support near 8k mark and have seen a sharp bounce. Now 8200 holds the key for further upside. Above 8200, 8510 will be the next mid term support and above that it looks very certain that 8000 might not be broken.
Technical observation on Nifty on on daily charts has made a Morning Star pattern which is supposed to be very bullish and which earlier had caused a rally from 8000 to 8500 levels in last month... However today's high of 8150-8160 should be take out and sustained for the upward moment to continue....
Cheers....
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Market update - Flirting with 8k
As expected market again took support near 8k mark and has witnessed yet another sharp bounce of around 100 points, however the support has now become very week and if Nifty again is retraced to the levels of 8k the chances of it being broken are higher.
On the upside, 8135-8200 are key resistance areas where a new selling can emerge, however if Nifty manages to surpass and importantly sustain these levels the doors for further upside are wide open.
Since markets are trading with huge volatility. its advisable to stay cautious and trade with strict SL for any trade long / short.
My personal view is any sizable upside only visible if 8200 is taken out convincingly. and on the lower side triggering 8k-7950 mark can be a panic button for all the bulls currently long in markets
Cheers
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Friday, June 5, 2015
Bulls are back
As per earlier post, Nifty surpassed yesterday's high of 8160 and is trading above it that too after witnessing a sharp sell off in the morning.
Looks like Bulls are back at least for near term with SL below 8050..... Final levels to watch are still pegged at 8000-7950.....
Thanks to the daily hammer, still for confirmation today and Monday should trade and preferably close above 8160....
Cheers
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Thursday, June 4, 2015
Hammer!!!
Finally seems like there is small respite for the bulls. Nifty managed to closed and create a Hammer (Bullish Candlestick pattern) on daily charts so now tomorrow it is advisable that it goes above 8161-8165 levels and sustains above it, closing above that mark will really fancy the chances of Nifty getting near 8200-8400....
Cheers
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Market Update....
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Monday, June 1, 2015
El Nino.... A nice article Impact Of El Nino Induced Monsoon On The Indian Economy
Just came across a nice article on El Nino Effect....
Worth reading....
Of late, the recent forecast of low rainfall during the monsoon is a concern for many. The onus of this goes to El Nino acronym of El Nino Southern Oscillation that a country experiences in a cycle of three to seven years. It occurs when there is an interaction between the warm water of Pacific Ocean and atmosphere. This causes different weather events ranging from floods to droughts across the gold. El Nino meant The Little Boy and was first recognized in the coastal areas of South America during the seventeenth century. Monsoon in India influences Australia and different regions in South East Asia. It impacts the economy of the country and that of neighboring countries.
Cheers
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Thursday, May 28, 2015
Nifty bounced back from the neckline....
As per my post couple of days back, Nifty exactly took support near 8270 and gave a mild bounce back. The bounce should continue hereafter and go markets should go further up above 8330-8370 levels t call it a as a meaningful bottom....
Cheers
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Power to PTC!!!!
Just a rare stock observation.....
PTC... CMP 67.30
The stock is creating an Inverted HNS pattern on hourly charts.... One can enter long above 67.6 with SL below 64.5... Targets 70.2-73
Cheers
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Wednesday, May 27, 2015
What to expext in one year from Govt.
Came across A good piece from wsj article today (A forwarded msg)
"Neelkanth Mishra, a Credit Suisse strategist, said his client presentations now include a map of India with each state labeled with the name of the country whose population is most similar. Maharashtra state’s population of 110 million makes it the size of Mexico. Uttar Pradesh, with 200 million people, is like Brazil.
“For one person sitting in Delhi to change Brazil, Mexico, Japan, Germany, France, Turkey and Canada in six months or one year is, I think, a completely irrational expectation,” Mr. Mishra said."
Cheers
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Market update - Nifty touching the neckline....
as per my earlier updates Nifty had created an inverted HNS pattern (http://hrishikeshprabhavalkar.blogspot.in/2015/05/inverted-hns-beakout-bulls-are-back.html) on daily charts, which is a bullish sign. As mentioned in that markets have now corrected a bit and are trading near the neckline of the pattern near 8270-8250...
This offers a nice buying opportunity with very small risk....
Regards
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
My dear fellow citizens.....PM's letter to citizens on completion of 1 year of Govt
We assumed office at a time when confidence in the India story was waning. Un-abated corruption and indecisiveness had paralyzed the government. People had been left helpless against ever climbing inflation and economic insecurity. Urgent and decisive action was needed.
Jai Hind!
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Tuesday, May 26, 2015
Home Loan your biggest worry? Then Do this.....
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Indian funds have beaten Warren Buffett in returns...
Came across a nice article on Indian MF industry, it's an interview of Mr. Nilesh Shah , MD Kotak Mahindra AMC by Economic times...
Indian investors are still in reverse track, Nilesh Shah tells ET Wealth. The good news is a more mature set of investors has entered the market in recent years.
A recent report says most actively managed mutual funds underperformed their benchmarks in the past five years. What are your observations?
Nilesh Shah: There's a saying that if you torture data enough, it will confess to everything. The SPIVA report is nothing but torturin ..
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
#NaMo Innovative way of preparing your own Report Card....!!!
Came across a link about the One Year Progress by NaMo Govt. worth going through...
http://www.narendramodi.in/oneyear
Regards
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Thursday, May 21, 2015
Interesting Read.... Major firms creating slowdown to hit back at PM
A report worth reading by a leading Financial Services Firm published in Business Standard News Paper.... If the same is authentic (looks like as it is published in a leading business news daily) really surprising and also augers well for India over a longer term prospective. It really tells you that this governmnt is doing some good things not so very welcomed by the corporates.....
Worth Reading
Some major power, infrastructure, metals and mining companies are planning to consciously hold back capital expenditure to “create an economic slowdown”, according to a report by Ambit Capital Research, released on Wednesday. Quoting sources close to Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the report said the move was prompted by their disappointment over the PM’s crackdown on crony capitalists.
The Ambit report also launched a spirited defence of the PM and talked about its “growing conviction that the PM is prioritising a clean-up of the system over pursuit of near-term GDP growth”. The report repeatedly quotes “sources close to the PM” as saying Modi has got multi-decadal ambitions and will not be panicked into generating short-term results which could compromise his longer-term goals.
Claiming the findings are a result of the research team’s repeated visits to Delhi and other state capitals, Ambit made other startling allegations against a section of Indian companies, without naming any. “The forthcoming black money Bill seems likely to result in an exodus of Indian businessmen seeking residentship abroad. We have already heard about promoters of several prominent small-midcap companies who have taken tax residentship abroad in the past few weeks. Also, a significant proportion of white collar professionals working in India for MNCs are contemplating leaving the country.”
“Our sources in Delhi say the government has realised that if it hastily kicks-off major capex projects without cleaning up the ecosystem of corrupt officials and bent contractors then it will simply perpetuate the rot that had set in over the past 10 years,” Ambit said.
Asking everybody to be prepared for a short-term pain, Ambit cut its FY16 gross domestic product growth estimate to 7 per cent from 7.5 per cent estimated by it in March.
Terming it as the “PM’s detox diet for India”, Ambit said the clean-up has four facets: Pressurising crony capitalists and contractors into re-thinking their traditional approach to rigging the system; attacking the subsidy fraud through Direct Benefits Transfer and use the Aadhaar as a means of identification; pressurising civil servants and public sector company chiefs to deliver in their day job and desist from graft and attacking the “black economy”.
Macquarie Capital has come out with a note titled “Modi Meter — One year later: 7/10”. The rating is much higher than what corporate CEOs would give the government. Authored by Rakesh Arora and Arun Bhattacharya, the report on the Modi government is a study in contrast to the United Progressive Alliance government, thanks to its decisive action, transparency and development focus.
Like Ambit Capital, Macquarie’s Arora, too, says the government has done away with crony capitalism by moving all approval processes online, introducing an auction system for resources and focusing on improving ease of doing business.
Macquarie Capital says: “Corporates that are used to receiving doles and fiscal incentives are finding themselves thrown at the deep end of the pool and tackling competition to survive. However, the government’s efforts to ease land acquisition has been jeopardised by populist opposition.”
Link - http://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/major-firms-creating-slowdown-to-hit-back-at-pm-ambit-report-115052001213_1.html
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Wednesday, May 20, 2015
What does Mr. RR has to say about one year of NDA Govt. in India .....
For all of you especially from Financial Industry and even me sometimes, who are confused about the performance of the present Govt.
A nice article in Financial Express -
The expectations from the Narendra Modi government when it came to power last year were “probably unrealistic” but it has taken steps to create an environment for investment and is “sensitive” to concerns of investors, RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan has said.
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Tuesday, May 19, 2015
#ModiInsultsIndia First Foot in Mouth statement by NaMo!!!
First of all, with all due respect to Mr. Modi and his designation, him saying that we were ashamed of being born in a country before he came in to power it is completely not acceptable and definitely not expected of NaMo. I watched the video where he said it and was really amazed to see that the audience was laughing to this sentence, hope they are not from India, else I am feeling ashamed of having them as my countrymen....
So on business front (Little bit of it what I know is 26 odd deals with $ 22 BL are inked which involve companies like Adani, Bharti Airtel, Welspun etc., I also heard ICICI Bank is planning on a new bank in Shanghai to expand its operations in China....) dont think that he has done any harm to India or Indians for that matter but the actual insulting statement came in Mangolia where he said that Indians were ashamed of being born in India before his Govt...
This is a bit too much and surely not expected from a responsible person like Mr. Modi.. We have a lot of expectation from you Sir, your actions may speak up over a period of time but statements like this might have a even more long lasting impact politically, and we don't want to see any one else in power because only 5 years may not be sufficient....
Regards...
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets
Monday, May 18, 2015
Inverted HNS beakout........ Bulls are back!!!
After a week of abnormal intraday volatility, Nifty managed to close crucial resistances today.
Nifty also closed strongly above the neck line for the Inverted Head and Shoulder Pattern on Daily charts, which is a very good sign..... The pattern roughly gives targets of 8600+. The volume confirmation for the same is not encouraging which means there might be some muted days or even negative days in between, however short term bias looks bullish with supports near 8300-8120-8080...
The mid term outlook is also bullish with final supports near 8000-7950....
However the next hurdle now for Nifty is near 8510 mark, which can be a litmus test for market's potential to go up further...
Cheers....
Hrishi
Commerce Graduate with more than decade and half years of experience in capital markets

