Friday, March 22, 2019

#MarketUpdate - Mohe rang do Laaal ! ! !

Hi All,

Belated Holi wishes to all....

After a stupendous positive rally, Nifty closed negative for 2 consecutive day after 28th Feb 2019.

As posted earlier, it took resistance near the weakly supply zone of 11570-11580.

Bears can rejoice - 

1. On hourly charts today, Nifty started the day with a bearish engulf pattern on hourly charts, which clearly conveyed intentions of BEARS.
2. Even today's daily candle is a strong bearish candle without any visible bottom tail, which shows that the BEARS have managed to take the control.
3. And above all weekly candle for Nifty is a shooting star like candle with a long upper shadow suggesting a lot of selling pressure.

Things to worry for bears -

1. Today's second last hourly candle for Nifty is a perfect Hammer kind of candle which is bullish
2. There would be a good amount of support near 10400 mark for Nifty.

To sum it up, crucial levels to watch out for would be 11400 on the lower side and 11580-600 on the higher side, and a break of either side would decide the further direction.

Plan of action for traders - 

Wait for the opening of Monday, bulls can still take back the control if they manage to keep the index above today's hourly hammer low near 11430, one can take a small risk and go long, if Nifty opens on Monday on a flat to positive note and follow a strict stop loss below 11400-11430 but if it breaks the support near 11400, it can fall down further to next support zones near 11310-11260-11220-11175-11120..... However, I would personally feel to wait for it to break the crucial levels and then take the trade accordingly

P.S. - 

Nifty has rallied by almost 1000 points within a period of just a month, and hence a breather can be expected in markets and index can trend range bound or with a slight bearish bias. Traders are advised to take positions with strict stop loss and with proper money management.


Have a great weekend!!!

Cheers....

Tuesday, March 19, 2019

#MarketUpdate - Yeh BULL hai, ke maanta nahi !

Update - 1040 hours 22nd Mar 2019

Nifty has taken resistance near the weekly supple area near 11570-80

Today's trading action would be very crucial...

Cheers

Hrishi...


Monday, March 18, 2019

#MarketUpdate - Rickshaw Man !

Hi All,

As posted in the last update, Bears could not win the battle near the 78.6% retracement near 11384-90 and Bulls managed to sky rocket the index to the next hurdle of 11470-11530.

Though Nifty hit the 6th month high today near the daily resistance of 11530, it has ended up with a look alike of Rickshaw man candlestick pattern, usually treated as a trend reversal, if the low is broken and sustained convincingly. (Refer the chart below)

Hence, today's low becomes very crucial for bulls, as failing to hold that would mean than index might see a down ward retracement of the entire rise of last month from 11600 odd levels. So, short positions can be initiated, if and only if Nifty convincingly breaks 11400 mark with a stop loss above 11530-50... Below 11400 Nifty can drift down to 1150-11310-11260-11200-11130.

However, if Bulls yet again manage to take out 11530, Nifty can zoom firstly towards 11610 and then create a Life high above 11760..


Cheers

Hrishi