Hi All,
Markets moved up from the lows of 4800 to 6000 in less than a years time (From June 2012 - Jan 2013) with an ~ 50% annualized returns. Moreover they are trading positive for last 3 months, viz. November, December and January...
Following is the chart which compares the current scenario to that of January 2008, after which we all know what happened to the markets..... At a very nascent, amateur level, the same looks to me as very identical patterns however the consequences may vary as we know that Technical analysis is an art of dealing with probabilities and not certainties.
I personally feel that 5990-80 levels will be very crucial for the immediate trend which will take Nifty towards 5940-5900 and they will act as strong supports for short to medium term and finally a big range of 5500-5800 will be very vital for mid term to long term trend in Nifty going forward....
The targets there after can be as low as 5000-4500 and even 4000....
However as mentioned the above mentioned levels should be watched out for......
Read this with the article mentioned below -
http://www.equitymaster.com/5MinWrapUp/detail.asp?date=01/16/2013&story=2&title=Who-is-in-the-drivers-seat-of-Sensex-20000.
This is just a personal view and the levels to watch our for on the higher side will be 6100-6200-6350........
Regards
Hrishi
Markets moved up from the lows of 4800 to 6000 in less than a years time (From June 2012 - Jan 2013) with an ~ 50% annualized returns. Moreover they are trading positive for last 3 months, viz. November, December and January...
Following is the chart which compares the current scenario to that of January 2008, after which we all know what happened to the markets..... At a very nascent, amateur level, the same looks to me as very identical patterns however the consequences may vary as we know that Technical analysis is an art of dealing with probabilities and not certainties.
I personally feel that 5990-80 levels will be very crucial for the immediate trend which will take Nifty towards 5940-5900 and they will act as strong supports for short to medium term and finally a big range of 5500-5800 will be very vital for mid term to long term trend in Nifty going forward....
The targets there after can be as low as 5000-4500 and even 4000....
However as mentioned the above mentioned levels should be watched out for......
Read this with the article mentioned below -
http://www.equitymaster.com/5MinWrapUp/detail.asp?date=01/16/2013&story=2&title=Who-is-in-the-drivers-seat-of-Sensex-20000.
This is just a personal view and the levels to watch our for on the higher side will be 6100-6200-6350........
Regards
Hrishi